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AIEL 2025


40th Conference of the Italian Association of Labour Economics

Department of Economics, Management and Statistics (DEMS)
University of Milano-Bicocca

Milan, 18-20 September 2025

Exposure to Violence and Labour Market Trajectories


Presenter

Matteo Sandi (Catholic University of Milan)


Coauthors

Monica Langella and Antonio Martuscelli


Abstract

This paper examines the long-term economic consequences of early childhood exposure to organized crime. Linking detailed data on Italian homicides in 1981–1992 with administrative records of labour market trajectories 30 years later, we show that exposure to mafia-related and terror-related killings in utero or early childhood significantly lowers earnings and full-time employment at age 30. The effect is driven by reduced educational attainment, revealing a novel insight on how organized violence hinders human capital accumulation. These findings highlight a previously underexplored channel through which organized crime perpetuates poverty and spatial inequality.