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AIEL 2025


40th Conference of the Italian Association of Labour Economics

Department of Economics, Management and Statistics (DEMS)
University of Milano-Bicocca

Milan, 18-20 September 2025

Immigrants' Regularization and Native Workers' Response


Presenter

Gianluca Orefice (Paris-Dauphine)


Coauthors

Giovanni Peri and Gianluca Santoni


Abstract

Using employer-employee Italian data in the period 1998-2018 we analyze the impact of a regularization of undocumented immigrant workers in Italy on wage, employment and mobility outcomes of natives. Our empirical strategy takes advantage of the 2002 Bossi-Fini law that unexpectedly regularized 634,000 undocumented non-EU immigrants, with variation across firms and provinces that we use to identify a causal effect of the amnesty. We find that the policy had a small effect on the average wage of native workers and positive effects on employment at the local labor market level. Additionally, native co-workers in firms more affected by the policy were more likely to change employers in the post-policy period and such higher mobility resulted in a positive assortative reallocation to firms that slightly increased average wage and increased wage dispersion for natives.